NC State Wolfpack beat Louisville Cardinals 31-28, a 3-points margin. We projected Louisville Cardinals 26.0-26.0 NC State Wolfpack and gave NC State Wolfpack a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.
Our CFB model rates NC State Wolfpack as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Louisville Cardinals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Louisville Cardinals 41% / NC State Wolfpack 59%. Projected Louisville Cardinals 26 — 26 NC State Wolfpack.
Our CFB model rates NC State Wolfpack as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Louisville Cardinals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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