Home › CFB › Ball State Cardinals vs Northwestern Wildcats

Ball State Cardinals vs Northwestern Wildcats — 2026-10-10

12:30 PM ETRyan FieldCFBFINAL
Recap

Northwestern Wildcats beat Ball State Cardinals 45-14, a 31-points margin. We projected Ball State Cardinals 26.0-26.0 Northwestern Wildcats and gave Northwestern Wildcats a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Ball State Cardinals
41%
Northwestern Wildcats
59%
Projected
Cardinals 26.0 - 26.0 Wildcats

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates Northwestern Wildcats as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Ball State Cardinals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Ball State Cardinals
No recent games on file.
Northwestern Wildcats
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Ball State Cardinals 41% / Northwestern Wildcats 59%. Projected Ball State Cardinals 26 — 26 Northwestern Wildcats.

Our CFB model rates Northwestern Wildcats as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Ball State Cardinals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Get our daily picks in Discord
All sports. Model-backed picks with edge math + analysis. See pricing ->

Signal Labs · model-driven betting analytics. Information shown is for analysis and entertainment only. Must be 21+ to wager where legal. Responsible gambling resources.