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Ball State Cardinals vs Ohio State Buckeyes — 2026-09-05

12:30 PM ETOhio StadiumCFBFINAL
Recap

Ohio State Buckeyes beat Ball State Cardinals 56-3, a 53-points margin. We projected Ball State Cardinals 26.0-26.0 Ohio State Buckeyes and gave Ohio State Buckeyes a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Ball State Cardinals
41%
Ohio State Buckeyes
59%
Projected
Cardinals 26.0 - 26.0 Buckeyes

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates Ohio State Buckeyes as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Ball State Cardinals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Ball State Cardinals
No recent games on file.
Ohio State Buckeyes
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Ball State Cardinals 41% / Ohio State Buckeyes 59%. Projected Ball State Cardinals 26 — 26 Ohio State Buckeyes.

Our CFB model rates Ohio State Buckeyes as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Ball State Cardinals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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