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Stanford Cardinal vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish — 2026-10-10

3:30 PM ETNotre Dame StadiumCFBFINAL
Recap

Notre Dame Fighting Irish beat Stanford Cardinal 58-7, a 51-points margin. We projected Stanford Cardinal 26.0-26.0 Notre Dame Fighting Irish and gave Notre Dame Fighting Irish a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Stanford Cardinal
41%
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
59%
Projected
Cardinal 26.0 - 26.0 Irish

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates Notre Dame Fighting Irish as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Stanford Cardinal would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Stanford Cardinal
No recent games on file.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Stanford Cardinal 41% / Notre Dame Fighting Irish 59%. Projected Stanford Cardinal 26 — 26 Notre Dame Fighting Irish.

Our CFB model rates Notre Dame Fighting Irish as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Stanford Cardinal would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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