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Buffalo Bulls vs Toledo Rockets — 2026-10-10

3:30 PM ETGlass BowlCFBFINAL
Recap

Buffalo Bulls beat Toledo Rockets 23-8, a 15-points margin. We projected Buffalo Bulls 26.0-26.0 Toledo Rockets and gave Toledo Rockets a 59% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Buffalo Bulls
41%
Toledo Rockets
59%
Projected
Bulls 26.0 - 26.0 Rockets

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates Toledo Rockets as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Buffalo Bulls would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Buffalo Bulls
No recent games on file.
Toledo Rockets
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Buffalo Bulls 41% / Toledo Rockets 59%. Projected Buffalo Bulls 26 — 26 Toledo Rockets.

Our CFB model rates Toledo Rockets as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Buffalo Bulls would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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