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South Florida Bulls vs UTSA Roadrunners — 2026-10-08

7:30 PM ETAlamodomeCFBFINAL
Recap

UTSA Roadrunners beat South Florida Bulls 31-24, a 7-points margin. We projected South Florida Bulls 26.0-26.0 UTSA Roadrunners and gave UTSA Roadrunners a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

South Florida Bulls
41%
UTSA Roadrunners
59%
Projected
Bulls 26.0 - 26.0 Roadrunners

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates UTSA Roadrunners as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. South Florida Bulls would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

South Florida Bulls
No recent games on file.
UTSA Roadrunners
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: South Florida Bulls 41% / UTSA Roadrunners 59%. Projected South Florida Bulls 26 — 26 UTSA Roadrunners.

Our CFB model rates UTSA Roadrunners as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. South Florida Bulls would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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