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Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs vs Liberty Flames — 2026-09-12

12:00 PM ETWilliams Stadium (VA)CFBFINAL
Recap

Liberty Flames beat Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs 24-23, a 1-point margin. We projected Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs 26.0-26.0 Liberty Flames and gave Liberty Flames a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs
41%
Liberty Flames
59%
Projected
Bulldogs 26.0 - 26.0 Flames

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates Liberty Flames as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs
No recent games on file.
Liberty Flames
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs 41% / Liberty Flames 59%. Projected Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs 26 — 26 Liberty Flames.

Our CFB model rates Liberty Flames as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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