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The Citadel Bulldogs vs Charlotte 49ers — 2026-09-05

3:30 PM ETJerry Richardson StadiumCFBFINAL
Recap

The Citadel Bulldogs beat Charlotte 49ers 43-41, a 2-points margin. We projected The Citadel Bulldogs 26.0-26.0 Charlotte 49ers and gave Charlotte 49ers a 59% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.

Model prediction (pre-game)

The Citadel Bulldogs
41%
Charlotte 49ers
59%
Projected
Bulldogs 26.0 - 26.0 49ers

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates Charlotte 49ers as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. The Citadel Bulldogs would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

The Citadel Bulldogs
No recent games on file.
Charlotte 49ers
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: The Citadel Bulldogs 41% / Charlotte 49ers 59%. Projected The Citadel Bulldogs 26 — 26 Charlotte 49ers.

Our CFB model rates Charlotte 49ers as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. The Citadel Bulldogs would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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