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Colorado Buffaloes vs Baylor Bears — 2026-09-26

12:00 PM ETMcLane StadiumCFBFINAL
Recap

Baylor Bears beat Colorado Buffaloes 23-13, a 10-points margin. We projected Colorado Buffaloes 26.0-26.0 Baylor Bears and gave Baylor Bears a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Colorado Buffaloes
41%
Baylor Bears
59%
Projected
Buffaloes 26.0 - 26.0 Bears

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates Baylor Bears as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Colorado Buffaloes would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Colorado Buffaloes
No recent games on file.
Baylor Bears
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Colorado Buffaloes 41% / Baylor Bears 59%. Projected Colorado Buffaloes 26 — 26 Baylor Bears.

Our CFB model rates Baylor Bears as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Colorado Buffaloes would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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