Ohio State Buckeyes beat Iowa Hawkeyes 31-14, a 17-points margin. We projected Ohio State Buckeyes 26.0-26.0 Iowa Hawkeyes and gave Iowa Hawkeyes a 59% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.
Our CFB model rates Iowa Hawkeyes as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Ohio State Buckeyes would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Ohio State Buckeyes 41% / Iowa Hawkeyes 59%. Projected Ohio State Buckeyes 26 — 26 Iowa Hawkeyes.
Our CFB model rates Iowa Hawkeyes as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Ohio State Buckeyes would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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