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Western Michigan Broncos vs Buffalo Bulls — 2026-10-03

1:00 PM ETBroadview StadiumCFBFINAL
Recap

Western Michigan Broncos beat Buffalo Bulls 20-17, a 3-points margin. We projected Western Michigan Broncos 26.0-26.0 Buffalo Bulls and gave Buffalo Bulls a 59% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Western Michigan Broncos
41%
Buffalo Bulls
59%
Projected
Broncos 26.0 - 26.0 Bulls

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates Buffalo Bulls as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Western Michigan Broncos would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Western Michigan Broncos
No recent games on file.
Buffalo Bulls
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Western Michigan Broncos 41% / Buffalo Bulls 59%. Projected Western Michigan Broncos 26 — 26 Buffalo Bulls.

Our CFB model rates Buffalo Bulls as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Western Michigan Broncos would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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