Boise State Broncos beat Western Michigan Broncos 32-7, a 25-points margin. We projected Boise State Broncos 26.0-26.0 Western Michigan Broncos and gave Western Michigan Broncos a 59% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.
Our CFB model rates Western Michigan Broncos as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Boise State Broncos would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Boise State Broncos 41% / Western Michigan Broncos 59%. Projected Boise State Broncos 26 — 26 Western Michigan Broncos.
Our CFB model rates Western Michigan Broncos as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Boise State Broncos would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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