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Texas State Bobcats vs Texas Longhorns — 2026-09-05

3:30 PM ETDKR-Texas Memorial StadiumCFBFINAL
Recap

Texas Longhorns beat Texas State Bobcats 59-7, a 52-points margin. We projected Texas State Bobcats 26.0-26.0 Texas Longhorns and gave Texas Longhorns a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Texas State Bobcats
41%
Texas Longhorns
59%
Projected
Bobcats 26.0 - 26.0 Longhorns

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates Texas Longhorns as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Texas State Bobcats would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Texas State Bobcats
No recent games on file.
Texas Longhorns
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Texas State Bobcats 41% / Texas Longhorns 59%. Projected Texas State Bobcats 26 — 26 Texas Longhorns.

Our CFB model rates Texas Longhorns as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Texas State Bobcats would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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