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Idaho State Bengals vs Utah State Aggies — 2026-09-05

7:00 PM ETMaverik StadiumCFBFINAL
Recap

Idaho State Bengals beat Utah State Aggies 29-17, a 12-points margin. We projected Idaho State Bengals 26.0-26.0 Utah State Aggies and gave Utah State Aggies a 59% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Idaho State Bengals
41%
Utah State Aggies
59%
Projected
Bengals 26.0 - 26.0 Aggies

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates Utah State Aggies as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Idaho State Bengals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Idaho State Bengals
No recent games on file.
Utah State Aggies
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Idaho State Bengals 41% / Utah State Aggies 59%. Projected Idaho State Bengals 26 — 26 Utah State Aggies.

Our CFB model rates Utah State Aggies as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Idaho State Bengals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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