Home › CFB › Sam Houston Bearkats vs Liberty Flames

Sam Houston Bearkats vs Liberty Flames — 2026-10-08

7:00 PM ETWilliams Stadium (VA)CFBFINAL
Recap

Liberty Flames beat Sam Houston Bearkats 35-3, a 32-points margin. We projected Sam Houston Bearkats 26.0-26.0 Liberty Flames and gave Liberty Flames a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Sam Houston Bearkats
41%
Liberty Flames
59%
Projected
Bearkats 26.0 - 26.0 Flames

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates Liberty Flames as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Sam Houston Bearkats would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Sam Houston Bearkats
No recent games on file.
Liberty Flames
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Sam Houston Bearkats 41% / Liberty Flames 59%. Projected Sam Houston Bearkats 26 — 26 Liberty Flames.

Our CFB model rates Liberty Flames as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Sam Houston Bearkats would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Get our daily picks in Discord
All sports. Model-backed picks with edge math + analysis. See pricing ->

Signal Labs · model-driven betting analytics. Information shown is for analysis and entertainment only. Must be 21+ to wager where legal. Responsible gambling resources.