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Wisconsin Badgers vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish — 2026-09-06

7:30 PM ETLambeau FieldCFBFINAL
Recap

Notre Dame Fighting Irish beat Wisconsin Badgers 41-13, a 28-points margin. We projected Wisconsin Badgers 26.0-26.0 Notre Dame Fighting Irish and gave Notre Dame Fighting Irish a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Wisconsin Badgers
41%
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
59%
Projected
Badgers 26.0 - 26.0 Irish

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates Notre Dame Fighting Irish as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Wisconsin Badgers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Wisconsin Badgers
No recent games on file.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Wisconsin Badgers 41% / Notre Dame Fighting Irish 59%. Projected Wisconsin Badgers 26 — 26 Notre Dame Fighting Irish.

Our CFB model rates Notre Dame Fighting Irish as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Wisconsin Badgers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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