Toledo Rockets beat San Diego State Aztecs 41-16, a 25-points margin. We projected San Diego State Aztecs 26.0-26.0 Toledo Rockets and gave Toledo Rockets a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.
Our CFB model rates Toledo Rockets as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. San Diego State Aztecs would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: San Diego State Aztecs 41% / Toledo Rockets 59%. Projected San Diego State Aztecs 26 — 26 Toledo Rockets.
Our CFB model rates Toledo Rockets as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. San Diego State Aztecs would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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