SMU Mustangs beat UC Davis Aggies 56-10, a 46-points margin. We projected UC Davis Aggies 26.0-26.0 SMU Mustangs and gave SMU Mustangs a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.
Our CFB model rates SMU Mustangs as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. UC Davis Aggies would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: UC Davis Aggies 41% / SMU Mustangs 59%. Projected UC Davis Aggies 26 — 26 SMU Mustangs.
Our CFB model rates SMU Mustangs as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. UC Davis Aggies would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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