Model Pick of the Day
One free model read per sport — no account, no card, nothing to cancel.
Slate of 2026-07-25.
⚾ MLB
◆◆◆◆◆
Under 8.0 at -119
Los Angeles Dodgers @ New York Mets
Type Over/Under
Model confidence Medium
Line from DraftKings
- Projected total: 7.3 runs vs line 8.0 (-0.7)
- SP matchup (ERA): Mets 3.34 vs Dodgers 2.78
- Team OPS: Mets 0.686 vs Dodgers 0.774
- Park (Citi Field): 1.00 runs-factor — neutral
- Weather: Wind 9mph blowing from RF-side out to LF (122deg): +0.07 runs | Carry +3.8% (humidity 40%, pressure 1017hPa): +0.19 runs (+0.3 runs applied to total)
- External projection P(over 8.0): 39.8% vs our 39.0% — high agreement
What this is. These are our model's reads, published before the games start and
then
settled publicly on the open ledger — wins and losses
both. It is analysis for entertainment and information, not advice and not a promise of
profit. Past results do not predict future outcomes.
See every graded pick → ·
Free DFS optimizer →
21+. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call
1-800-GAMBLER or visit
ncpgambling.org.